Latest ensemble forecasts place Wuhan's August 12 maximum near 30–31 °C, with market odds clustered tightly around those bins because model guidance diverges on cloud cover, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture. A strengthening El Niño is elevating baseline summer temperatures across central China, yet day-to-day variability from the East Asian monsoon trough and possible scattered thunderstorms can cap afternoon heating by 1–3 °C or allow clearer skies to push readings higher. Official readings will come from the Wuhan national reference station; traders watch updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus China Meteorological Administration guidance for shifts in the 48-hour window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 12?
29°C 32%
31°C 26%
30°C 19%
32°C 16%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
22%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
16%
33°C
7%
34°C
6%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
31°C 26%
30°C 19%
32°C 16%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
22%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
16%
33°C
7%
34°C
6%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts place Wuhan's August 12 maximum near 30–31 °C, with market odds clustered tightly around those bins because model guidance diverges on cloud cover, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture. A strengthening El Niño is elevating baseline summer temperatures across central China, yet day-to-day variability from the East Asian monsoon trough and possible scattered thunderstorms can cap afternoon heating by 1–3 °C or allow clearer skies to push readings higher. Official readings will come from the Wuhan national reference station; traders watch updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus China Meteorological Administration guidance for shifts in the 48-hour window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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