The framework agreement signed in June 2026 between Israel and Lebanon under U.S. mediation represents an initial step toward ending hostilities and restoring Lebanese sovereignty through phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones, contingent on the Lebanese Armed Forces assuming security control and disarming non-state groups such as Hezbollah. Full normalization before 2027 remains unlikely due to Hezbollah's repeated rejection of the deal as illegitimate and its refusal to disarm, ongoing Israeli operations against the group, and the conditional, performance-based nature of any further withdrawals or diplomatic progress. Recent talks, including rounds extending into late August with a planned September session in Rome, have advanced security coordination but have not produced a comprehensive peace treaty or diplomatic relations. Hezbollah's entrenched position and Iran's regional role continue to constrain rapid movement toward normalization within the remaining months of 2026.