Sébastien Lecornu remains France’s prime minister amid a fragmented National Assembly following the 2024 legislative elections, where his minority government depends on ad hoc support from centrist parties and occasional Socialist backing to survive. Recent developments center on negotiations for the 2027 budget, with Lecornu signaling willingness to use Article 49.3 or ordinances if needed while seeking compromises on spending cuts and taxes to avoid censure. Opposition groups including La France Insoumise and the National Rally have repeatedly filed or threatened no-confidence motions, though none have succeeded since early 2026. The ordinary parliamentary session opening in October will test these dynamics through floor votes and potential procedural maneuvers. Lecornu has ruled out a 2027 presidential bid and emphasized stability ahead of the campaign, but the government’s narrow margins and opposition incentives to force early elections keep removal risks elevated through year-end.