Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 70s°F for Austin on August 28 under clear skies and light southeast winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 100°F. High dew points near 70°F and urban heat retention limit further drops, consistent with recent August lows averaging 72–78°F. Trader sentiment clusters around 72–79°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, wind, or station-specific readings (e.g., airport vs. urban sites) can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two, creating near-even implied probabilities across those bins while higher or sub-70°F outcomes remain low-probability outliers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Austin on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 28?
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
69°F or below
23%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
69°F or below
$11 ปริมาณ
23%
70-71°F
$11 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
82-83°F
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$13 ปริมาณ
11%
86-87°F
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
88°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 70s°F for Austin on August 28 under clear skies and light southeast winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 100°F. High dew points near 70°F and urban heat retention limit further drops, consistent with recent August lows averaging 72–78°F. Trader sentiment clusters around 72–79°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, wind, or station-specific readings (e.g., airport vs. urban sites) can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two, creating near-even implied probabilities across those bins while higher or sub-70°F outcomes remain low-probability outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 70s°F for Austin on August 28 under clear skies and light southeast winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 100°F. High dew points near 70°F and urban heat retention limit further drops, consistent with recent August lows averaging 72–78°F. Trader sentiment clusters around 72–79°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, wind, or station-specific readings (e.g., airport vs. urban sites) can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two, creating near-even implied probabilities across those bins while higher or sub-70°F outcomes remain low-probability outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 70s°F for Austin on August 28 under clear skies and light southeast winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 100°F. High dew points near 70°F and urban heat retention limit further drops, consistent with recent August lows averaging 72–78°F. Trader sentiment clusters around 72–79°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, wind, or station-specific readings (e.g., airport vs. urban sites) can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two, creating near-even implied probabilities across those bins while higher or sub-70°F outcomes remain low-probability outliers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย