Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight minimum in Cape Town on August 23, likely settling in the 10–12°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing and radiative cooling. The closely matched market probabilities around 10°C, 11°C, and lower thresholds reflect lingering uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by variations in nocturnal boundary layer stability, dew point depressions, and the moderating influence of the Benguela Current on coastal temperatures. August climatology shows typical minima near 8–11°C, but recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential clearer-sky radiative losses versus forecast consensus favoring the upper end of the range ahead of final model runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
10°C 22%
11°C 21%
9°C 19%
15°C 18%
6°C or below
6%
7°C
6%
8°C
16%
9°C
19%
10°C
22%
11°C
21%
12°C
17%
13°C
14%
14°C
2%
15°C
18%
16°C or higher
1%
10°C 22%
11°C 21%
9°C 19%
15°C 18%
6°C or below
6%
7°C
6%
8°C
16%
9°C
19%
10°C
22%
11°C
21%
12°C
17%
13°C
14%
14°C
2%
15°C
18%
16°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight minimum in Cape Town on August 23, likely settling in the 10–12°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing and radiative cooling. The closely matched market probabilities around 10°C, 11°C, and lower thresholds reflect lingering uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by variations in nocturnal boundary layer stability, dew point depressions, and the moderating influence of the Benguela Current on coastal temperatures. August climatology shows typical minima near 8–11°C, but recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential clearer-sky radiative losses versus forecast consensus favoring the upper end of the range ahead of final model runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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