**Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity from the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight lows in Chengdu moderate for August 29.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the Met Office, LUFT TIME, and local Chinese meteorological data indicate minimum temperatures clustering between 20–24°C, with many runs centering near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and 40–80% rain chances. Recent developments reinforce this positioning: ongoing thunderstorms and heavy precipitation through August 27–28 have increased atmospheric moisture and reduced radiative cooling, preventing sharper drops that might occur under clear conditions. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin shows typical overnight lows near 23°C during unsettled weather, aligning with current model consensus. Traders appear to weight the 24°C outcome highest (51.5% implied probability) because ensemble guidance shows limited cooling potential, while slightly warmer or cooler scenarios (25°C or 23°C) remain plausible depending on exact rainfall timing and wind. Updated official forecasts or satellite observations ahead of market resolution could further refine these probabilities, but the dominant driver remains the stable, moist airmass suppressing temperature variability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
24°C 47%
23°C 43%
25°C 42%
21°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
10%
20°C
38%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
43%
24°C
47%
25°C
42%
26°C
38%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 47%
23°C 43%
25°C 42%
21°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$135 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
10%
20°C
$20 ปริมาณ
38%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
27°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity from the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight lows in Chengdu moderate for August 29.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the Met Office, LUFT TIME, and local Chinese meteorological data indicate minimum temperatures clustering between 20–24°C, with many runs centering near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and 40–80% rain chances.
Recent developments reinforce this positioning: ongoing thunderstorms and heavy precipitation through August 27–28 have increased atmospheric moisture and reduced radiative cooling, preventing sharper drops that might occur under clear conditions. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin shows typical overnight lows near 23°C during unsettled weather, aligning with current model consensus.
Traders appear to weight the 24°C outcome highest (51.5% implied probability) because ensemble guidance shows limited cooling potential, while slightly warmer or cooler scenarios (25°C or 23°C) remain plausible depending on exact rainfall timing and wind. Updated official forecasts or satellite observations ahead of market resolution could further refine these probabilities, but the dominant driver remains the stable, moist airmass suppressing temperature variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$170วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity from the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight lows in Chengdu moderate for August 29.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the Met Office, LUFT TIME, and local Chinese meteorological data indicate minimum temperatures clustering between 20–24°C, with many runs centering near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and 40–80% rain chances.
Recent developments reinforce this positioning: ongoing thunderstorms and heavy precipitation through August 27–28 have increased atmospheric moisture and reduced radiative cooling, preventing sharper drops that might occur under clear conditions. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin shows typical overnight lows near 23°C during unsettled weather, aligning with current model consensus.
Traders appear to weight the 24°C outcome highest (51.5% implied probability) because ensemble guidance shows limited cooling potential, while slightly warmer or cooler scenarios (25°C or 23°C) remain plausible depending on exact rainfall timing and wind. Updated official forecasts or satellite observations ahead of market resolution could further refine these probabilities, but the dominant driver remains the stable, moist airmass suppressing temperature variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$170วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity from the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight lows in Chengdu moderate for August 29.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the Met Office, LUFT TIME, and local Chinese meteorological data indicate minimum temperatures clustering between 20–24°C, with many runs centering near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and 40–80% rain chances. Recent developments reinforce this positioning: ongoing thunderstorms and heavy precipitation through August 27–28 have increased atmospheric moisture and reduced radiative cooling, preventing sharper drops that might occur under clear conditions. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin shows typical overnight lows near 23°C during unsettled weather, aligning with current model consensus. Traders appear to weight the 24°C outcome highest (51.5% implied probability) because ensemble guidance shows limited cooling potential, while slightly warmer or cooler scenarios (25°C or 23°C) remain plausible depending on exact rainfall timing and wind. Updated official forecasts or satellite observations ahead of market resolution could further refine these probabilities, but the dominant driver remains the stable, moist airmass suppressing temperature variability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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