Recent forecasts for Chongqing indicate a sharp cooldown on August 29 driven by northerly cold air interacting with persistent easterly flow, triggering widespread heavy rain and thunderstorms that enhance evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources projects overnight lows near 22–24 °C amid 30–80 mm rainfall, with localized variations depending on storm timing and intensity. This scientific uncertainty—arising from differences in model resolution of boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts—explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 21–25 °C. Traders weigh the potential for deeper cooling under prolonged rain against residual heat retention in urban areas, with final resolution hinging on official minimum readings reported after midnight local time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 29?
19°C or below 83%
24°C 45%
21°C 44%
25°C 44%
19°C or below
83%
20°C
41%
21°C
44%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
45%
25°C
44%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
12%
29°C or higher
40%
19°C or below 83%
24°C 45%
21°C 44%
25°C 44%
19°C or below
83%
20°C
41%
21°C
44%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
45%
25°C
44%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
12%
29°C or higher
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing indicate a sharp cooldown on August 29 driven by northerly cold air interacting with persistent easterly flow, triggering widespread heavy rain and thunderstorms that enhance evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources projects overnight lows near 22–24 °C amid 30–80 mm rainfall, with localized variations depending on storm timing and intensity. This scientific uncertainty—arising from differences in model resolution of boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts—explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 21–25 °C. Traders weigh the potential for deeper cooling under prolonged rain against residual heat retention in urban areas, with final resolution hinging on official minimum readings reported after midnight local time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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