Forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF runs as of late August 31 indicate a mild overnight period for Helsinki on September 2, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest to southwest winds. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while preventing significant cold-air advection, keeping the lowest reading near the climatological early-September average of roughly 11–12 °C. Slight model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain why the 14 °C and 15 °C outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities, with 12 °C remaining competitive if clearer skies develop. Updated model guidance and any late-day surface observations will be the key near-term catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 2?
14°C 100%
15°C 99%
12°C 97%
13°C 97%
6°C or below
22%
7°C
2%
8°C
43%
9°C
24%
10°C
47%
11°C
46%
12°C
97%
13°C
97%
14°C
100%
15°C
99%
16°C or higher
12%
14°C 100%
15°C 99%
12°C 97%
13°C 97%
6°C or below
22%
7°C
2%
8°C
43%
9°C
24%
10°C
47%
11°C
46%
12°C
97%
13°C
97%
14°C
100%
15°C
99%
16°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF runs as of late August 31 indicate a mild overnight period for Helsinki on September 2, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest to southwest winds. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while preventing significant cold-air advection, keeping the lowest reading near the climatological early-September average of roughly 11–12 °C. Slight model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain why the 14 °C and 15 °C outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities, with 12 °C remaining competitive if clearer skies develop. Updated model guidance and any late-day surface observations will be the key near-term catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย