Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 7, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer humidity. Early-September conditions under an emerging El Niño favor above-normal warmth overall, yet a broad cloud band and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping below 25°C in most runs. A strengthening northeast monsoon signal arrives only after the 9th, so it exerts limited influence on the immediate period. Traders are weighting the latest 9-day HKO outlook and high-resolution guidance that resolve the 1°C spread, with fresh model cycles expected to tighten probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
28°C 14%
32°C or higher 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
8%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
9%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
11%
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
28°C 14%
32°C or higher 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
25°C
$88 ปริมาณ
9%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
28°C
$20 ปริมาณ
14%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 7, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer humidity. Early-September conditions under an emerging El Niño favor above-normal warmth overall, yet a broad cloud band and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping below 25°C in most runs. A strengthening northeast monsoon signal arrives only after the 9th, so it exerts limited influence on the immediate period. Traders are weighting the latest 9-day HKO outlook and high-resolution guidance that resolve the 1°C spread, with fresh model cycles expected to tighten probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$108วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 7, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer humidity. Early-September conditions under an emerging El Niño favor above-normal warmth overall, yet a broad cloud band and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping below 25°C in most runs. A strengthening northeast monsoon signal arrives only after the 9th, so it exerts limited influence on the immediate period. Traders are weighting the latest 9-day HKO outlook and high-resolution guidance that resolve the 1°C spread, with fresh model cycles expected to tighten probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$108วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 7, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer humidity. Early-September conditions under an emerging El Niño favor above-normal warmth overall, yet a broad cloud band and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping below 25°C in most runs. A strengthening northeast monsoon signal arrives only after the 9th, so it exerts limited influence on the immediate period. Traders are weighting the latest 9-day HKO outlook and high-resolution guidance that resolve the 1°C spread, with fresh model cycles expected to tighten probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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