Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by NHC and European centers, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting a daily minimum near 21–22°C through moderate radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns closely with September climatology (average low around 17°C) while remaining well above the 13°C threshold and below the 23°C mark. Trader consensus remains nearly even between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes because small differences in dew-point depression, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, enough to alter resolution. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty as the event approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
13°C or below
47%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C or higher
48%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
13°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
23°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by NHC and European centers, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting a daily minimum near 21–22°C through moderate radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns closely with September climatology (average low around 17°C) while remaining well above the 13°C threshold and below the 23°C mark. Trader consensus remains nearly even between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes because small differences in dew-point depression, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, enough to alter resolution. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by NHC and European centers, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting a daily minimum near 21–22°C through moderate radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns closely with September climatology (average low around 17°C) while remaining well above the 13°C threshold and below the 23°C mark. Trader consensus remains nearly even between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes because small differences in dew-point depression, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, enough to alter resolution. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by NHC and European centers, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting a daily minimum near 21–22°C through moderate radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns closely with September climatology (average low around 17°C) while remaining well above the 13°C threshold and below the 23°C mark. Trader consensus remains nearly even between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes because small differences in dew-point depression, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, enough to alter resolution. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty as the event approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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