Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 6, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 13–15°C under light southerly flow and partly clear skies that permit moderate radiational cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14°C and 15°C because model guidance shows consistent surface lows in that narrow band, supported by above-average 850 hPa temperatures and dew points limiting further nocturnal drops. Differentiation among the tightly clustered outcomes hinges on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology places the average low near 12°C, yet current high-pressure dominance favors slightly milder readings, with new model runs and Met Office updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 6?
Lowest temperature in London on September 6?
15°C 36%
14°C 25%
16°C 24%
11°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
16%
11°C
19%
12°C
10%
13°C
18%
14°C
25%
15°C
36%
16°C
24%
17°C
18%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 36%
14°C 25%
16°C 24%
11°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
12°C
$20 ปริมาณ
10%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
14°C
$141 ปริมาณ
25%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
16°C
$30 ปริมาณ
24%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 6, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 13–15°C under light southerly flow and partly clear skies that permit moderate radiational cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14°C and 15°C because model guidance shows consistent surface lows in that narrow band, supported by above-average 850 hPa temperatures and dew points limiting further nocturnal drops. Differentiation among the tightly clustered outcomes hinges on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology places the average low near 12°C, yet current high-pressure dominance favors slightly milder readings, with new model runs and Met Office updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$191วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 6, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 13–15°C under light southerly flow and partly clear skies that permit moderate radiational cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14°C and 15°C because model guidance shows consistent surface lows in that narrow band, supported by above-average 850 hPa temperatures and dew points limiting further nocturnal drops. Differentiation among the tightly clustered outcomes hinges on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology places the average low near 12°C, yet current high-pressure dominance favors slightly milder readings, with new model runs and Met Office updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$191วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 6, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 13–15°C under light southerly flow and partly clear skies that permit moderate radiational cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14°C and 15°C because model guidance shows consistent surface lows in that narrow band, supported by above-average 850 hPa temperatures and dew points limiting further nocturnal drops. Differentiation among the tightly clustered outcomes hinges on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology places the average low near 12°C, yet current high-pressure dominance favors slightly milder readings, with new model runs and Met Office updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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