**Numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles currently project a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 17 in the 13–15°C range, driving the market's heavy weighting toward the 12°C-or-below (50%) and 13–14°C (40%) outcomes.** This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.3°C for the date, tempered by a recent influx of cooler polar maritime air that lowered early-September maxima by 6–12°C across central Spain. Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiational cooling overnight support these values, though model consensus shows modest spread around exact minima. Final AEMET updates and high-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
12°C or below 52%
14°C 40%
13°C 26%
15°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
52%
13°C
26%
14°C
40%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C
7%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
12°C or below 52%
14°C 40%
13°C 26%
15°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
52%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles currently project a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 17 in the 13–15°C range, driving the market's heavy weighting toward the 12°C-or-below (50%) and 13–14°C (40%) outcomes.**
This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.3°C for the date, tempered by a recent influx of cooler polar maritime air that lowered early-September maxima by 6–12°C across central Spain. Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiational cooling overnight support these values, though model consensus shows modest spread around exact minima. Final AEMET updates and high-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles currently project a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 17 in the 13–15°C range, driving the market's heavy weighting toward the 12°C-or-below (50%) and 13–14°C (40%) outcomes.**
This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.3°C for the date, tempered by a recent influx of cooler polar maritime air that lowered early-September maxima by 6–12°C across central Spain. Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiational cooling overnight support these values, though model consensus shows modest spread around exact minima. Final AEMET updates and high-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles currently project a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 17 in the 13–15°C range, driving the market's heavy weighting toward the 12°C-or-below (50%) and 13–14°C (40%) outcomes.** This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.3°C for the date, tempered by a recent influx of cooler polar maritime air that lowered early-September maxima by 6–12°C across central Spain. Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiational cooling overnight support these values, though model consensus shows modest spread around exact minima. Final AEMET updates and high-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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