**Forecast models indicate elevated overnight lows for Madrid on September 6, 2026, amid a broader warm spell, yet substantial uncertainty persists around exact minimum temperatures.** Current guidance from sources including globalmeteo, WeatherBug, and Yr.no projects daytime highs of 34–37°C with nighttime minima near 23–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds. These values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17°C for the date, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow advecting warmer air, and limited radiative cooling from urban heat retention and possible residual cloud cover. The near-even split in market-implied odds between a minimum of 31°C or higher (50.0%) and 21°C or below (48.5%) reflects genuine forecast divergence at this 48-hour lead time. Key differentiating factors include potential shifts in wind direction or speed that could enhance or suppress mixing, variations in overnight cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss, and any late adjustments in the strength of the warm advection. Historical precedent shows September minima can vary widely (record low 9.2°C, recent years often 16–22°C), underscoring how small changes in these variables can shift the outcome. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely clarify whether the current warm bias holds or yields to modest cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Madrid on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 6?
31°C or higher 100%
21°C or below 48%
24°C 39%
25°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
48%
22°C
27%
23°C
28%
24°C
39%
25°C
36%
26°C
2%
27°C
35%
28°C
35%
29°C
36%
30°C
35%
31°C or higher
100%
31°C or higher 100%
21°C or below 48%
24°C 39%
25°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate elevated overnight lows for Madrid on September 6, 2026, amid a broader warm spell, yet substantial uncertainty persists around exact minimum temperatures.** Current guidance from sources including globalmeteo, WeatherBug, and Yr.no projects daytime highs of 34–37°C with nighttime minima near 23–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds. These values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17°C for the date, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow advecting warmer air, and limited radiative cooling from urban heat retention and possible residual cloud cover.
The near-even split in market-implied odds between a minimum of 31°C or higher (50.0%) and 21°C or below (48.5%) reflects genuine forecast divergence at this 48-hour lead time. Key differentiating factors include potential shifts in wind direction or speed that could enhance or suppress mixing, variations in overnight cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss, and any late adjustments in the strength of the warm advection. Historical precedent shows September minima can vary widely (record low 9.2°C, recent years often 16–22°C), underscoring how small changes in these variables can shift the outcome. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely clarify whether the current warm bias holds or yields to modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate elevated overnight lows for Madrid on September 6, 2026, amid a broader warm spell, yet substantial uncertainty persists around exact minimum temperatures.** Current guidance from sources including globalmeteo, WeatherBug, and Yr.no projects daytime highs of 34–37°C with nighttime minima near 23–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds. These values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17°C for the date, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow advecting warmer air, and limited radiative cooling from urban heat retention and possible residual cloud cover.
The near-even split in market-implied odds between a minimum of 31°C or higher (50.0%) and 21°C or below (48.5%) reflects genuine forecast divergence at this 48-hour lead time. Key differentiating factors include potential shifts in wind direction or speed that could enhance or suppress mixing, variations in overnight cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss, and any late adjustments in the strength of the warm advection. Historical precedent shows September minima can vary widely (record low 9.2°C, recent years often 16–22°C), underscoring how small changes in these variables can shift the outcome. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely clarify whether the current warm bias holds or yields to modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate elevated overnight lows for Madrid on September 6, 2026, amid a broader warm spell, yet substantial uncertainty persists around exact minimum temperatures.** Current guidance from sources including globalmeteo, WeatherBug, and Yr.no projects daytime highs of 34–37°C with nighttime minima near 23–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds. These values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17°C for the date, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow advecting warmer air, and limited radiative cooling from urban heat retention and possible residual cloud cover. The near-even split in market-implied odds between a minimum of 31°C or higher (50.0%) and 21°C or below (48.5%) reflects genuine forecast divergence at this 48-hour lead time. Key differentiating factors include potential shifts in wind direction or speed that could enhance or suppress mixing, variations in overnight cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss, and any late adjustments in the strength of the warm advection. Historical precedent shows September minima can vary widely (record low 9.2°C, recent years often 16–22°C), underscoring how small changes in these variables can shift the outcome. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely clarify whether the current warm bias holds or yields to modest cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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