Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 66°F in New York City on July 8 amid moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, following several days of elevated minima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows modest cooling from a passing disturbance and increased cloud cover, yet lingering humidity and urban heat-island effects keep warmer bins competitive. These conditions explain the market’s leading 74 °F-or-higher outcome at 46 % implied probability alongside strong support for the 64–67 °F ranges, as traders weigh the narrow window between ongoing warmth and forecast moderation before final NWS observations resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on July 8?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 8?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$28,206 ปริมาณ
$28,206 ปริมาณ
Jul 8, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$28,206 ปริมาณ
$28,206 ปริมาณ
Jul 8, 2026
55°F or below
$706 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$1,042 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$1,947 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$1,562 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$2,496 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$4,122 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$8,733 ปริมาณ
Yes
68-69°F
$1,156 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$2,731 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$1,525 ปริมาณ
No
74°F or higher
$2,186 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 66°F in New York City on July 8 amid moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, following several days of elevated minima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows modest cooling from a passing disturbance and increased cloud cover, yet lingering humidity and urban heat-island effects keep warmer bins competitive. These conditions explain the market’s leading 74 °F-or-higher outcome at 46 % implied probability alongside strong support for the 64–67 °F ranges, as traders weigh the narrow window between ongoing warmth and forecast moderation before final NWS observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,206วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 66°F in New York City on July 8 amid moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, following several days of elevated minima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows modest cooling from a passing disturbance and increased cloud cover, yet lingering humidity and urban heat-island effects keep warmer bins competitive. These conditions explain the market’s leading 74 °F-or-higher outcome at 46 % implied probability alongside strong support for the 64–67 °F ranges, as traders weigh the narrow window between ongoing warmth and forecast moderation before final NWS observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,206วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 66°F in New York City on July 8 amid moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, following several days of elevated minima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows modest cooling from a passing disturbance and increased cloud cover, yet lingering humidity and urban heat-island effects keep warmer bins competitive. These conditions explain the market’s leading 74 °F-or-higher outcome at 46 % implied probability alongside strong support for the 64–67 °F ranges, as traders weigh the narrow window between ongoing warmth and forecast moderation before final NWS observations resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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