A cold front approaching São Paulo on August 21, 2026, is the main driver behind tight market odds clustered around 10–15°C for the day's minimum temperature. Official forecasts from Brazilian sources indicate the overnight low will likely settle near 12–14°C as cooler maritime air arrives, with increased cloud cover and southeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling after sunset. Model consensus on the exact minimum remains narrow because small differences in front timing, dew point depression, and urban heat retention can shift the reading by 1–2°C. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing context for why probabilities spread evenly across nearby thresholds rather than converging on a single outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 21?
13°C 52%
12°C 48%
11°C 48%
15°C 48%
$1,511 ปริมาณ
$1,511 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
46%
11°C
48%
12°C
48%
13°C
52%
14°C
47%
15°C
48%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 52%
12°C 48%
11°C 48%
15°C 48%
$1,511 ปริมาณ
$1,511 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
$153 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
12°C
$28 ปริมาณ
48%
13°C
$42 ปริมาณ
52%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
16°C
$177 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$129 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$853 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front approaching São Paulo on August 21, 2026, is the main driver behind tight market odds clustered around 10–15°C for the day's minimum temperature. Official forecasts from Brazilian sources indicate the overnight low will likely settle near 12–14°C as cooler maritime air arrives, with increased cloud cover and southeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling after sunset. Model consensus on the exact minimum remains narrow because small differences in front timing, dew point depression, and urban heat retention can shift the reading by 1–2°C. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing context for why probabilities spread evenly across nearby thresholds rather than converging on a single outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,511วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front approaching São Paulo on August 21, 2026, is the main driver behind tight market odds clustered around 10–15°C for the day's minimum temperature. Official forecasts from Brazilian sources indicate the overnight low will likely settle near 12–14°C as cooler maritime air arrives, with increased cloud cover and southeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling after sunset. Model consensus on the exact minimum remains narrow because small differences in front timing, dew point depression, and urban heat retention can shift the reading by 1–2°C. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing context for why probabilities spread evenly across nearby thresholds rather than converging on a single outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,511วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front approaching São Paulo on August 21, 2026, is the main driver behind tight market odds clustered around 10–15°C for the day's minimum temperature. Official forecasts from Brazilian sources indicate the overnight low will likely settle near 12–14°C as cooler maritime air arrives, with increased cloud cover and southeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling after sunset. Model consensus on the exact minimum remains narrow because small differences in front timing, dew point depression, and urban heat retention can shift the reading by 1–2°C. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing context for why probabilities spread evenly across nearby thresholds rather than converging on a single outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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