Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers expected into August 16, keeping Shanghai’s minimum temperature tightly clustered near 25–26 °C. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points typical of the East Asian summer monsoon suppress the usual nocturnal drop, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief additional cooling toward the lower end of that range. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes and far lower probabilities to extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
26°C 47%
25°C 42%
27°C 6%
24°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
42%
26°C
47%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 42%
27°C 6%
24°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
$92 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$87 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$92 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$536 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$746 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$1,784 ปริมาณ
42%
26°C
$1,604 ปริมาณ
47%
27°C
$197 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$511 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$87 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$84 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers expected into August 16, keeping Shanghai’s minimum temperature tightly clustered near 25–26 °C. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points typical of the East Asian summer monsoon suppress the usual nocturnal drop, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief additional cooling toward the lower end of that range. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes and far lower probabilities to extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,818วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers expected into August 16, keeping Shanghai’s minimum temperature tightly clustered near 25–26 °C. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points typical of the East Asian summer monsoon suppress the usual nocturnal drop, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief additional cooling toward the lower end of that range. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes and far lower probabilities to extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,818วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers expected into August 16, keeping Shanghai’s minimum temperature tightly clustered near 25–26 °C. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points typical of the East Asian summer monsoon suppress the usual nocturnal drop, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief additional cooling toward the lower end of that range. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes and far lower probabilities to extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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