Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's September 21 minimum temperature remains closely balanced because official forecasts and model guidance converge on overnight lows near 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity. Radiative cooling after sunset, modulated by the Mediterranean's thermal inertia and minimal cloud cover, sets the floor, while any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shifts could limit the drop. Consensus from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service highlights typical late-summer stability with no frontal systems, yet small ensemble spreads in minimum readings differentiate the 20–21°C versus 23–24°C bins. Updated model runs and station observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
28°C or higher 100%
24°C 93%
18°C or below 90%
19°C 49%
18°C or below
90%
19°C
49%
20°C
48%
21°C
49%
22°C
48%
23°C
44%
24°C
93%
25°C
18%
26°C
17%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
100%
28°C or higher 100%
24°C 93%
18°C or below 90%
19°C 49%
18°C or below
90%
19°C
49%
20°C
48%
21°C
49%
22°C
48%
23°C
44%
24°C
93%
25°C
18%
26°C
17%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's September 21 minimum temperature remains closely balanced because official forecasts and model guidance converge on overnight lows near 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity. Radiative cooling after sunset, modulated by the Mediterranean's thermal inertia and minimal cloud cover, sets the floor, while any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shifts could limit the drop. Consensus from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service highlights typical late-summer stability with no frontal systems, yet small ensemble spreads in minimum readings differentiate the 20–21°C versus 23–24°C bins. Updated model runs and station observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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