Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 15, 2026, due to Marine Reserve activation for Middle East deployment, has positioned state Sen. Eric Pratt as the sole remaining GOP candidate, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for his August 11 primary victory. Previously a competitive open-seat race after Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid, Kistner's exit—weeks before the district party's May 2 endorsing convention—clears Pratt's path despite no endorsement from Kistner's strategist, who cited Pratt's past criticism of President Trump and legislative record. Late entrants remain possible before filing deadlines, but Pratt's incumbency as a four-term senator bolsters his frontrunner status among traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$16,071 ปริมาณ
$16,071 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
Eric Pratt
87%
Tyler Kistner
2%
$16,071 ปริมาณ
$16,071 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
Eric Pratt
$2,808 ปริมาณ
87%
Tyler Kistner
$13,263 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 15, 2026, due to Marine Reserve activation for Middle East deployment, has positioned state Sen. Eric Pratt as the sole remaining GOP candidate, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for his August 11 primary victory. Previously a competitive open-seat race after Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid, Kistner's exit—weeks before the district party's May 2 endorsing convention—clears Pratt's path despite no endorsement from Kistner's strategist, who cited Pratt's past criticism of President Trump and legislative record. Late entrants remain possible before filing deadlines, but Pratt's incumbency as a four-term senator bolsters his frontrunner status among traders.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,071วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 15, 2026, due to Marine Reserve activation for Middle East deployment, has positioned state Sen. Eric Pratt as the sole remaining GOP candidate, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for his August 11 primary victory. Previously a competitive open-seat race after Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid, Kistner's exit—weeks before the district party's May 2 endorsing convention—clears Pratt's path despite no endorsement from Kistner's strategist, who cited Pratt's past criticism of President Trump and legislative record. Late entrants remain possible before filing deadlines, but Pratt's incumbency as a four-term senator bolsters his frontrunner status among traders.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,071วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 15, 2026, due to Marine Reserve activation for Middle East deployment, has positioned state Sen. Eric Pratt as the sole remaining GOP candidate, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for his August 11 primary victory. Previously a competitive open-seat race after Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid, Kistner's exit—weeks before the district party's May 2 endorsing convention—clears Pratt's path despite no endorsement from Kistner's strategist, who cited Pratt's past criticism of President Trump and legislative record. Late entrants remain possible before filing deadlines, but Pratt's incumbency as a four-term senator bolsters his frontrunner status among traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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