Montana’s 1st congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans following the retirement of incumbent Ryan Zinke. The June 2026 primary produced a clear GOP nominee in Trump-endorsed radio host Aaron Flint, consolidating party support in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Democrats have nominated Sam Forstag, but face a narrower path in a state with consistent GOP registration and voting advantages. With the November general election still months away, the current 61-39 market split reflects traders’ assessment of these baseline partisan dynamics, primary outcomes, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would shift the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$2,411 ปริมาณ
61%
Democratic Party
$1,331 ปริมาณ
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans following the retirement of incumbent Ryan Zinke. The June 2026 primary produced a clear GOP nominee in Trump-endorsed radio host Aaron Flint, consolidating party support in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Democrats have nominated Sam Forstag, but face a narrower path in a state with consistent GOP registration and voting advantages. With the November general election still months away, the current 61-39 market split reflects traders’ assessment of these baseline partisan dynamics, primary outcomes, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,742วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans following the retirement of incumbent Ryan Zinke. The June 2026 primary produced a clear GOP nominee in Trump-endorsed radio host Aaron Flint, consolidating party support in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Democrats have nominated Sam Forstag, but face a narrower path in a state with consistent GOP registration and voting advantages. With the November general election still months away, the current 61-39 market split reflects traders’ assessment of these baseline partisan dynamics, primary outcomes, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,742วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s 1st congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans following the retirement of incumbent Ryan Zinke. The June 2026 primary produced a clear GOP nominee in Trump-endorsed radio host Aaron Flint, consolidating party support in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Democrats have nominated Sam Forstag, but face a narrower path in a state with consistent GOP registration and voting advantages. With the November general election still months away, the current 61-39 market split reflects traders’ assessment of these baseline partisan dynamics, primary outcomes, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would shift the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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