Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56% to hold Montana's 1st Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Ryan Zinke's March retirement citing health issues, in a district with R+5 partisan lean where Trump won by 11 points in 2024. Aaron Flint leads the crowded GOP primary with endorsements from Zinke, Trump, Gov. Gianforte, and over $450,000 raised, bolstering the party's position per Likely Republican ratings from Cook and others. Democrats, led by Ryan Busse in a recent internal primary poll and with strong fundraising across candidates like Forstag and Cleveland, remain competitive as a DCCC target amid national midterm dynamics, with June 2 primaries poised to clarify nominees and shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$919 ปริมาณ
56%
Democratic Party
$358 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56% to hold Montana's 1st Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Ryan Zinke's March retirement citing health issues, in a district with R+5 partisan lean where Trump won by 11 points in 2024. Aaron Flint leads the crowded GOP primary with endorsements from Zinke, Trump, Gov. Gianforte, and over $450,000 raised, bolstering the party's position per Likely Republican ratings from Cook and others. Democrats, led by Ryan Busse in a recent internal primary poll and with strong fundraising across candidates like Forstag and Cleveland, remain competitive as a DCCC target amid national midterm dynamics, with June 2 primaries poised to clarify nominees and shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,277วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56% to hold Montana's 1st Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Ryan Zinke's March retirement citing health issues, in a district with R+5 partisan lean where Trump won by 11 points in 2024. Aaron Flint leads the crowded GOP primary with endorsements from Zinke, Trump, Gov. Gianforte, and over $450,000 raised, bolstering the party's position per Likely Republican ratings from Cook and others. Democrats, led by Ryan Busse in a recent internal primary poll and with strong fundraising across candidates like Forstag and Cleveland, remain competitive as a DCCC target amid national midterm dynamics, with June 2 primaries poised to clarify nominees and shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,277วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56% to hold Montana's 1st Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Ryan Zinke's March retirement citing health issues, in a district with R+5 partisan lean where Trump won by 11 points in 2024. Aaron Flint leads the crowded GOP primary with endorsements from Zinke, Trump, Gov. Gianforte, and over $450,000 raised, bolstering the party's position per Likely Republican ratings from Cook and others. Democrats, led by Ryan Busse in a recent internal primary poll and with strong fundraising across candidates like Forstag and Cleveland, remain competitive as a DCCC target amid national midterm dynamics, with June 2 primaries poised to clarify nominees and shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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