Recent primaries on June 2 produced Democratic nominee Sam Forstag and Republican nominee Aaron Flint in the open MT-01 race after incumbent Ryan Zinke retired, leaving an R+5 district without an established favorite. Trader consensus at 53.5% Democratic versus 47.5% Republican reflects the closely contested dynamics, where Forstag's union and progressive base in Missoula competes against Flint's conservative radio profile and establishment endorsements in a state with divided regional turnout patterns. Fundraising, early general-election polling shifts, and national midterm sentiment could widen the gap before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
64%
Republican Party
38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$518 ปริมาณ
64%
Republican Party
$1,047 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent primaries on June 2 produced Democratic nominee Sam Forstag and Republican nominee Aaron Flint in the open MT-01 race after incumbent Ryan Zinke retired, leaving an R+5 district without an established favorite. Trader consensus at 53.5% Democratic versus 47.5% Republican reflects the closely contested dynamics, where Forstag's union and progressive base in Missoula competes against Flint's conservative radio profile and establishment endorsements in a state with divided regional turnout patterns. Fundraising, early general-election polling shifts, and national midterm sentiment could widen the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,566วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent primaries on June 2 produced Democratic nominee Sam Forstag and Republican nominee Aaron Flint in the open MT-01 race after incumbent Ryan Zinke retired, leaving an R+5 district without an established favorite. Trader consensus at 53.5% Democratic versus 47.5% Republican reflects the closely contested dynamics, where Forstag's union and progressive base in Missoula competes against Flint's conservative radio profile and establishment endorsements in a state with divided regional turnout patterns. Fundraising, early general-election polling shifts, and national midterm sentiment could widen the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,566วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent primaries on June 2 produced Democratic nominee Sam Forstag and Republican nominee Aaron Flint in the open MT-01 race after incumbent Ryan Zinke retired, leaving an R+5 district without an established favorite. Trader consensus at 53.5% Democratic versus 47.5% Republican reflects the closely contested dynamics, where Forstag's union and progressive base in Missoula competes against Flint's conservative radio profile and establishment endorsements in a state with divided regional turnout patterns. Fundraising, early general-election polling shifts, and national midterm sentiment could widen the gap before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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