In Brazil's Piauí senatorial contest for two seats in the 2026 elections, multiple candidates remain closely bunched for second place as candidacy registrations closed on August 15. Incumbent Marcelo Castro (MDB) holds the clearest lead in available surveys, while Ciro Nogueira (PP), Júlio César (PSD), Tiago Junqueira (PL), and several others trail in the low-to-mid teens or single digits. The fragmented field, typical of Brazil's open-list proportional system, keeps second-place probabilities compressed, with trader consensus reflecting limited polling data, similar name recognition among challengers, and no decisive recent events or endorsements that have consolidated support behind one contender. Late-campaign shifts in alliances or turnout among key regional blocs could still alter the ordering before October voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Marcelo Castro 35%
Antônio José Lira 30%
Tiago Junqueira 30%
Ciro Nogueira 19%
Marcelo Castro
35%
Antônio José Lira
30%
Tiago Junqueira
30%
Ciro Nogueira
19%
Francinaldo Leão
19%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
18%
Antônio Barros
18%
Dionisio Carvalho
18%
Jorge Lopes
18%
Alexandre Mariano
18%
Julio Cesar
18%
Major Paulo Roberto
18%
Pastor Sena
18%
Maria Madalena Nunes
17%
Toinho Dufrango
17%
Danniel Rocha
17%
Irmão Evandro Marques
17%
Cloves José
15%
Jardenya Bezerra
15%
Pedro Laurentino
18%
Marcelo Castro 35%
Antônio José Lira 30%
Tiago Junqueira 30%
Ciro Nogueira 19%
Marcelo Castro
35%
Antônio José Lira
30%
Tiago Junqueira
30%
Ciro Nogueira
19%
Francinaldo Leão
19%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
18%
Antônio Barros
18%
Dionisio Carvalho
18%
Jorge Lopes
18%
Alexandre Mariano
18%
Julio Cesar
18%
Major Paulo Roberto
18%
Pastor Sena
18%
Maria Madalena Nunes
17%
Toinho Dufrango
17%
Danniel Rocha
17%
Irmão Evandro Marques
17%
Cloves José
15%
Jardenya Bezerra
15%
Pedro Laurentino
18%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Brazil's Piauí senatorial contest for two seats in the 2026 elections, multiple candidates remain closely bunched for second place as candidacy registrations closed on August 15. Incumbent Marcelo Castro (MDB) holds the clearest lead in available surveys, while Ciro Nogueira (PP), Júlio César (PSD), Tiago Junqueira (PL), and several others trail in the low-to-mid teens or single digits. The fragmented field, typical of Brazil's open-list proportional system, keeps second-place probabilities compressed, with trader consensus reflecting limited polling data, similar name recognition among challengers, and no decisive recent events or endorsements that have consolidated support behind one contender. Late-campaign shifts in alliances or turnout among key regional blocs could still alter the ordering before October voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย