Observed low precipitation totals at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport through late May 2026, reaching roughly 0.76–1.14 inches against the 1.88-inch 1991–2020 climatological normal, have anchored overwhelming trader consensus on the 0.5–1 inch outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging and a suppressed Pacific storm track limited measurable rain after early-month showers, consistent with NOAA guidance for near- or below-normal conditions. This dry anomaly aligns with historical analogs of drier Mays and keeps upside risk limited to modest late showers that could nudge totals slightly higher. Model consensus on stable steering patterns leaves bins above 1.5 inches negligible. Only a substantial upward revision in final National Weather Service verification data would realistically alter the market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPrecipitation in Seattle in May?
Precipitation in Seattle in May?
0.5-1" 100.0%
<0.5" <1%
1-1.5" <1%
1.5-2" <1%
$8,531 ปริมาณ
$8,531 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
<0.5"
No
0.5-1"
Yes
1-1.5"
No
1.5-2"
No
2-2.5"
No
2.5-3"
No
>3"
No
0.5-1" 100.0%
<0.5" <1%
1-1.5" <1%
1.5-2" <1%
$8,531 ปริมาณ
$8,531 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
<0.5"
$2,416 ปริมาณ
No
0.5-1"
$2,432 ปริมาณ
Yes
1-1.5"
$845 ปริมาณ
No
1.5-2"
$967 ปริมาณ
No
2-2.5"
$727 ปริมาณ
No
2.5-3"
$539 ปริมาณ
No
>3"
$604 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed low precipitation totals at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport through late May 2026, reaching roughly 0.76–1.14 inches against the 1.88-inch 1991–2020 climatological normal, have anchored overwhelming trader consensus on the 0.5–1 inch outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging and a suppressed Pacific storm track limited measurable rain after early-month showers, consistent with NOAA guidance for near- or below-normal conditions. This dry anomaly aligns with historical analogs of drier Mays and keeps upside risk limited to modest late showers that could nudge totals slightly higher. Model consensus on stable steering patterns leaves bins above 1.5 inches negligible. Only a substantial upward revision in final National Weather Service verification data would realistically alter the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,531วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed low precipitation totals at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport through late May 2026, reaching roughly 0.76–1.14 inches against the 1.88-inch 1991–2020 climatological normal, have anchored overwhelming trader consensus on the 0.5–1 inch outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging and a suppressed Pacific storm track limited measurable rain after early-month showers, consistent with NOAA guidance for near- or below-normal conditions. This dry anomaly aligns with historical analogs of drier Mays and keeps upside risk limited to modest late showers that could nudge totals slightly higher. Model consensus on stable steering patterns leaves bins above 1.5 inches negligible. Only a substantial upward revision in final National Weather Service verification data would realistically alter the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,531วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Observed low precipitation totals at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport through late May 2026, reaching roughly 0.76–1.14 inches against the 1.88-inch 1991–2020 climatological normal, have anchored overwhelming trader consensus on the 0.5–1 inch outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging and a suppressed Pacific storm track limited measurable rain after early-month showers, consistent with NOAA guidance for near- or below-normal conditions. This dry anomaly aligns with historical analogs of drier Mays and keeps upside risk limited to modest late showers that could nudge totals slightly higher. Model consensus on stable steering patterns leaves bins above 1.5 inches negligible. Only a substantial upward revision in final National Weather Service verification data would realistically alter the market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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