Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating air mass over the Northeast on June 25, with daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary approaching from the west. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities for the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Ocean moderation from the Atlantic and typical early-summer humidity levels further cap peaks near long-term June climatology, while minor disagreements among forecast models on cloud timing and wind direction sustain the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on June 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 25?
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$152,097 ปริมาณ
$152,097 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$152,097 ปริมาณ
$152,097 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
71°F or below
$49,700 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$8,292 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$10,401 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$7,316 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$1,957 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$4,015 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$26,766 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$19,337 ปริมาณ
Yes
86-87°F
$5,838 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$12,835 ปริมาณ
No
90°F or higher
$5,639 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating air mass over the Northeast on June 25, with daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary approaching from the west. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities for the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Ocean moderation from the Atlantic and typical early-summer humidity levels further cap peaks near long-term June climatology, while minor disagreements among forecast models on cloud timing and wind direction sustain the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$152,097วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating air mass over the Northeast on June 25, with daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary approaching from the west. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities for the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Ocean moderation from the Atlantic and typical early-summer humidity levels further cap peaks near long-term June climatology, while minor disagreements among forecast models on cloud timing and wind direction sustain the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$152,097วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating air mass over the Northeast on June 25, with daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary approaching from the west. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities for the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Ocean moderation from the Atlantic and typical early-summer humidity levels further cap peaks near long-term June climatology, while minor disagreements among forecast models on cloud timing and wind direction sustain the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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