**The high 93.5% trader consensus on "No" for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 reflects repeated Senate failures to clear the 60-vote filibuster threshold and the absence of a viable legislative path before year-end.** The House passed versions of the bill requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID for voting, most recently attaching it to the NDAA in July 2026. However, Senate votes in June 2026, including a 48-50 procedural defeat on amendments to funding and reconciliation measures, showed consistent shortfalls. Four Republican senators—Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Mitch McConnell, and Thom Tillis—joined Democrats in opposition, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there is no realistic path forward without broader support or rule changes. With the 119th Congress nearing its end ahead of the 2026 midterms and no scheduled votes or procedural breakthroughs indicated, traders view enactment as highly improbable absent unexpected developments such as a sudden shift in Senate composition or rules.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วH.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
$191,410 ปริมาณ
$191,410 ปริมาณ
$191,410 ปริมาณ
$191,410 ปริมาณ
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**The high 93.5% trader consensus on "No" for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 reflects repeated Senate failures to clear the 60-vote filibuster threshold and the absence of a viable legislative path before year-end.** The House passed versions of the bill requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID for voting, most recently attaching it to the NDAA in July 2026. However, Senate votes in June 2026, including a 48-50 procedural defeat on amendments to funding and reconciliation measures, showed consistent shortfalls. Four Republican senators—Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Mitch McConnell, and Thom Tillis—joined Democrats in opposition, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there is no realistic path forward without broader support or rule changes. With the 119th Congress nearing its end ahead of the 2026 midterms and no scheduled votes or procedural breakthroughs indicated, traders view enactment as highly improbable absent unexpected developments such as a sudden shift in Senate composition or rules.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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