Trader consensus on US tornado totals for September 2026 clusters around the 25–74 range, reflecting the month’s climatological decline from spring and summer peaks. Historical averages hover near 66 tornadoes (1991–2020 data), with high year-to-year variability driven by the shift toward weaker instability, reduced low-level shear, and a southward contraction of favorable environments. Early September 2026 SPC outlooks indicate only isolated severe risks, primarily damaging winds and hail across the Northeast and Midwest under upper ridging, with limited tornado potential tied to transient boundaries rather than organized outbreaks. Key differentiating factors include moisture return from the Gulf, jet-stream positioning, and any tropical system influences that could boost southern counts; absent stronger signals, probabilities favor below-average activity through the month’s typical quieting trend.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS Tornadoes in September 2026
US Tornadoes in September 2026
50 - 74 50%
75 - 124 48%
25 - 49 47%
Under 25 43%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 14, 2026
Under 25
43%
25 - 49
47%
50 - 74
50%
75 - 124
48%
125 or more
22%
50 - 74 50%
75 - 124 48%
25 - 49 47%
Under 25 43%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 14, 2026
Under 25
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
25 - 49
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
50 - 74
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
75 - 124
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
125 or more
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Trader consensus on US tornado totals for September 2026 clusters around the 25–74 range, reflecting the month’s climatological decline from spring and summer peaks. Historical averages hover near 66 tornadoes (1991–2020 data), with high year-to-year variability driven by the shift toward weaker instability, reduced low-level shear, and a southward contraction of favorable environments. Early September 2026 SPC outlooks indicate only isolated severe risks, primarily damaging winds and hail across the Northeast and Midwest under upper ridging, with limited tornado potential tied to transient boundaries rather than organized outbreaks. Key differentiating factors include moisture return from the Gulf, jet-stream positioning, and any tropical system influences that could boost southern counts; absent stronger signals, probabilities favor below-average activity through the month’s typical quieting trend.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 9:39 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 9:39 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Trader consensus on US tornado totals for September 2026 clusters around the 25–74 range, reflecting the month’s climatological decline from spring and summer peaks. Historical averages hover near 66 tornadoes (1991–2020 data), with high year-to-year variability driven by the shift toward weaker instability, reduced low-level shear, and a southward contraction of favorable environments. Early September 2026 SPC outlooks indicate only isolated severe risks, primarily damaging winds and hail across the Northeast and Midwest under upper ridging, with limited tornado potential tied to transient boundaries rather than organized outbreaks. Key differentiating factors include moisture return from the Gulf, jet-stream positioning, and any tropical system influences that could boost southern counts; absent stronger signals, probabilities favor below-average activity through the month’s typical quieting trend.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 9:39 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on US tornado totals for September 2026 clusters around the 25–74 range, reflecting the month’s climatological decline from spring and summer peaks. Historical averages hover near 66 tornadoes (1991–2020 data), with high year-to-year variability driven by the shift toward weaker instability, reduced low-level shear, and a southward contraction of favorable environments. Early September 2026 SPC outlooks indicate only isolated severe risks, primarily damaging winds and hail across the Northeast and Midwest under upper ridging, with limited tornado potential tied to transient boundaries rather than organized outbreaks. Key differentiating factors include moisture return from the Gulf, jet-stream positioning, and any tropical system influences that could boost southern counts; absent stronger signals, probabilities favor below-average activity through the month’s typical quieting trend.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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