Polls conducted through mid-2026 show support for Alberta independence in the scheduled October 19 referendum hovering between 18% and 32%, with roughly two-thirds of respondents favoring remaining in Canada. Recent Ipsos and other surveys indicate this backing has declined from earlier 2026 levels amid public discussion of economic costs, treaty obligations, and legal barriers to secession. Premier Danielle Smith’s government has engaged with citizen petitions that cleared signature thresholds, yet official statements and opposition from First Nations have emphasized procedural and fiscal hurdles. Traders pricing the “No” outcome near 93% appear to reflect this stable polling gap and the absence of any sudden surge in separatist momentum ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว7% โอกาส
$252,934 ปริมาณ
$252,934 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
$252,934 ปริมาณ
$252,934 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Polls conducted through mid-2026 show support for Alberta independence in the scheduled October 19 referendum hovering between 18% and 32%, with roughly two-thirds of respondents favoring remaining in Canada. Recent Ipsos and other surveys indicate this backing has declined from earlier 2026 levels amid public discussion of economic costs, treaty obligations, and legal barriers to secession. Premier Danielle Smith’s government has engaged with citizen petitions that cleared signature thresholds, yet official statements and opposition from First Nations have emphasized procedural and fiscal hurdles. Traders pricing the “No” outcome near 93% appear to reflect this stable polling gap and the absence of any sudden surge in separatist momentum ahead of the vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$252,934วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Polls conducted through mid-2026 show support for Alberta independence in the scheduled October 19 referendum hovering between 18% and 32%, with roughly two-thirds of respondents favoring remaining in Canada. Recent Ipsos and other surveys indicate this backing has declined from earlier 2026 levels amid public discussion of economic costs, treaty obligations, and legal barriers to secession. Premier Danielle Smith’s government has engaged with citizen petitions that cleared signature thresholds, yet official statements and opposition from First Nations have emphasized procedural and fiscal hurdles. Traders pricing the “No” outcome near 93% appear to reflect this stable polling gap and the absence of any sudden surge in separatist momentum ahead of the vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$252,934วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polls conducted through mid-2026 show support for Alberta independence in the scheduled October 19 referendum hovering between 18% and 32%, with roughly two-thirds of respondents favoring remaining in Canada. Recent Ipsos and other surveys indicate this backing has declined from earlier 2026 levels amid public discussion of economic costs, treaty obligations, and legal barriers to secession. Premier Danielle Smith’s government has engaged with citizen petitions that cleared signature thresholds, yet official statements and opposition from First Nations have emphasized procedural and fiscal hurdles. Traders pricing the “No” outcome near 93% appear to reflect this stable polling gap and the absence of any sudden surge in separatist momentum ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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