Recent Congressional Budget Office projections estimate the fiscal year 2026 deficit near $1.9–2.1 trillion, comparable to or above the prior year’s level and driven by mandatory spending growth, net interest costs, and the net effects of the 2025 reconciliation measure. Enacted appropriations largely rejected proposed non-defense discretionary reductions, while tariff revenue gains have been partially offset by refunds and lower-than-expected collections. Monthly Treasury data through mid-2026 show year-to-date shortfalls tracking slightly higher than 2025, with no legislative or executive actions yet producing measurable year-over-year deficit compression. These fiscal trajectories underpin traders’ strong consensus against reduction before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
11% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 30, 2026
11% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 30, 2026
The U.S. federal budget deficit for September 2025 was $197,949,630,362.16 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.Recent Congressional Budget Office projections estimate the fiscal year 2026 deficit near $1.9–2.1 trillion, comparable to or above the prior year’s level and driven by mandatory spending growth, net interest costs, and the net effects of the 2025 reconciliation measure. Enacted appropriations largely rejected proposed non-defense discretionary reductions, while tariff revenue gains have been partially offset by refunds and lower-than-expected collections. Monthly Treasury data through mid-2026 show year-to-date shortfalls tracking slightly higher than 2025, with no legislative or executive actions yet producing measurable year-over-year deficit compression. These fiscal trajectories underpin traders’ strong consensus against reduction before 2027.
The U.S. federal budget deficit for September 2025 was $197,949,630,362.16 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,497วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. federal budget deficit for September 2025 was $197,949,630,362.16 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.Recent Congressional Budget Office projections estimate the fiscal year 2026 deficit near $1.9–2.1 trillion, comparable to or above the prior year’s level and driven by mandatory spending growth, net interest costs, and the net effects of the 2025 reconciliation measure. Enacted appropriations largely rejected proposed non-defense discretionary reductions, while tariff revenue gains have been partially offset by refunds and lower-than-expected collections. Monthly Treasury data through mid-2026 show year-to-date shortfalls tracking slightly higher than 2025, with no legislative or executive actions yet producing measurable year-over-year deficit compression. These fiscal trajectories underpin traders’ strong consensus against reduction before 2027.
The U.S. federal budget deficit for September 2025 was $197,949,630,362.16 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,497วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Congressional Budget Office projections estimate the fiscal year 2026 deficit near $1.9–2.1 trillion, comparable to or above the prior year’s level and driven by mandatory spending growth, net interest costs, and the net effects of the 2025 reconciliation measure. Enacted appropriations largely rejected proposed non-defense discretionary reductions, while tariff revenue gains have been partially offset by refunds and lower-than-expected collections. Monthly Treasury data through mid-2026 show year-to-date shortfalls tracking slightly higher than 2025, with no legislative or executive actions yet producing measurable year-over-year deficit compression. These fiscal trajectories underpin traders’ strong consensus against reduction before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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