Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data show deficits near $60 billion, with year-to-date figures running substantially below 2025 levels after 2025 tariff measures narrowed bilateral gaps, particularly with China. CBO projections anticipate further moderation through faster export growth relative to imports, supported by dollar movements and policy effects, while private forecasts note potential widening later if domestic demand rebounds. Trader consensus around the 800–900 billion range, followed by 900 billion–1 trillion, reflects these mixed signals: sustained but not transformative policy impacts, resilient imports of consumer and capital goods, and uncertainty over tariff durability after recent court developments. Lower ranges price in sharper contraction scenarios, while higher bands account for possible policy reversals or stronger import demand.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS Trade Deficit in 2026?
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
$21,139 ปริมาณ
$21,139 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
5%
500–600B
6%
600–700B
9%
700–800B
8%
800–900B
46%
900B–1T
31%
1T–1.1T
4%
1.1T+
4%
$21,139 ปริมาณ
$21,139 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
$16,691 ปริมาณ
5%
500–600B
$413 ปริมาณ
6%
600–700B
$505 ปริมาณ
9%
700–800B
$456 ปริมาณ
8%
800–900B
$1,008 ปริมาณ
46%
900B–1T
$984 ปริมาณ
31%
1T–1.1T
$447 ปริมาณ
4%
1.1T+
$635 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data show deficits near $60 billion, with year-to-date figures running substantially below 2025 levels after 2025 tariff measures narrowed bilateral gaps, particularly with China. CBO projections anticipate further moderation through faster export growth relative to imports, supported by dollar movements and policy effects, while private forecasts note potential widening later if domestic demand rebounds. Trader consensus around the 800–900 billion range, followed by 900 billion–1 trillion, reflects these mixed signals: sustained but not transformative policy impacts, resilient imports of consumer and capital goods, and uncertainty over tariff durability after recent court developments. Lower ranges price in sharper contraction scenarios, while higher bands account for possible policy reversals or stronger import demand.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,139วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data show deficits near $60 billion, with year-to-date figures running substantially below 2025 levels after 2025 tariff measures narrowed bilateral gaps, particularly with China. CBO projections anticipate further moderation through faster export growth relative to imports, supported by dollar movements and policy effects, while private forecasts note potential widening later if domestic demand rebounds. Trader consensus around the 800–900 billion range, followed by 900 billion–1 trillion, reflects these mixed signals: sustained but not transformative policy impacts, resilient imports of consumer and capital goods, and uncertainty over tariff durability after recent court developments. Lower ranges price in sharper contraction scenarios, while higher bands account for possible policy reversals or stronger import demand.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,139วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data show deficits near $60 billion, with year-to-date figures running substantially below 2025 levels after 2025 tariff measures narrowed bilateral gaps, particularly with China. CBO projections anticipate further moderation through faster export growth relative to imports, supported by dollar movements and policy effects, while private forecasts note potential widening later if domestic demand rebounds. Trader consensus around the 800–900 billion range, followed by 900 billion–1 trillion, reflects these mixed signals: sustained but not transformative policy impacts, resilient imports of consumer and capital goods, and uncertainty over tariff durability after recent court developments. Lower ranges price in sharper contraction scenarios, while higher bands account for possible policy reversals or stronger import demand.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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