The U.S. goods and services trade deficit narrowed dramatically in early 2026, dropping 54.8% year-to-date through February to well below prior-year levels, per Bureau of Economic Analysis data, as January's $54.5 billion gap widened modestly to $57.3 billion amid rising exports and tariff-curtailed imports under the Trump administration's 10% global levies and higher reciprocal duties. This progress, hailed by White House statements as tariff-driven success, has clustered trader consensus around 800–900B (32%) and 900B–1T (25%), reflecting skin-in-the-game caution over potential retaliation, strong dollar pressures boosting imports, and a U.S. Court of International Trade challenge to tariff legality filed April 10. Separation could emerge from March data (due early May), court rulings, or new trade negotiations, amid forecasts of further narrowing offset by economic growth risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS Trade Deficit in 2026?
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
$19,219 ปริมาณ
$19,219 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
8%
500–600B
3%
600–700B
7%
700–800B
15%
800–900B
31%
900B–1T
22%
1T–1.1T
10%
1.1T+
8%
$19,219 ปริมาณ
$19,219 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
$16,429 ปริมาณ
8%
500–600B
$225 ปริมาณ
3%
600–700B
$244 ปริมาณ
7%
700–800B
$290 ปริมาณ
15%
800–900B
$570 ปริมาณ
31%
900B–1T
$765 ปริมาณ
22%
1T–1.1T
$239 ปริมาณ
10%
1.1T+
$457 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.The U.S. goods and services trade deficit narrowed dramatically in early 2026, dropping 54.8% year-to-date through February to well below prior-year levels, per Bureau of Economic Analysis data, as January's $54.5 billion gap widened modestly to $57.3 billion amid rising exports and tariff-curtailed imports under the Trump administration's 10% global levies and higher reciprocal duties. This progress, hailed by White House statements as tariff-driven success, has clustered trader consensus around 800–900B (32%) and 900B–1T (25%), reflecting skin-in-the-game caution over potential retaliation, strong dollar pressures boosting imports, and a U.S. Court of International Trade challenge to tariff legality filed April 10. Separation could emerge from March data (due early May), court rulings, or new trade negotiations, amid forecasts of further narrowing offset by economic growth risks.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,219วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.The U.S. goods and services trade deficit narrowed dramatically in early 2026, dropping 54.8% year-to-date through February to well below prior-year levels, per Bureau of Economic Analysis data, as January's $54.5 billion gap widened modestly to $57.3 billion amid rising exports and tariff-curtailed imports under the Trump administration's 10% global levies and higher reciprocal duties. This progress, hailed by White House statements as tariff-driven success, has clustered trader consensus around 800–900B (32%) and 900B–1T (25%), reflecting skin-in-the-game caution over potential retaliation, strong dollar pressures boosting imports, and a U.S. Court of International Trade challenge to tariff legality filed April 10. Separation could emerge from March data (due early May), court rulings, or new trade negotiations, amid forecasts of further narrowing offset by economic growth risks.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,219วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The U.S. goods and services trade deficit narrowed dramatically in early 2026, dropping 54.8% year-to-date through February to well below prior-year levels, per Bureau of Economic Analysis data, as January's $54.5 billion gap widened modestly to $57.3 billion amid rising exports and tariff-curtailed imports under the Trump administration's 10% global levies and higher reciprocal duties. This progress, hailed by White House statements as tariff-driven success, has clustered trader consensus around 800–900B (32%) and 900B–1T (25%), reflecting skin-in-the-game caution over potential retaliation, strong dollar pressures boosting imports, and a U.S. Court of International Trade challenge to tariff legality filed April 10. Separation could emerge from March data (due early May), court rulings, or new trade negotiations, amid forecasts of further narrowing offset by economic growth risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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