Mike Derry leads trader consensus in the Calgary-Shaw by-election as the United Conservative Party nominee after defeating city councillor Dan McLean in the June 24 nomination vote. The riding, vacated by former UCP MLA Rebecca Schulz in May 2026, has historically favored the UCP with strong margins in recent provincial elections. Kyle Campbell, the NDP candidate nominated shortly afterward, trails in market pricing amid a contest focused on affordability, health care, and energy sector priorities. Premier Danielle Smith called the by-election for September 14, with nominations closing August 27 and advance voting set for early September. Other entrants, including Liberal leader John Roggeveen and Progressive Tory candidate Kyle Joseph, register minimal implied probabilities. Recent campaign activity, including endorsements and local issue emphasis, reinforces the two-candidate dynamic reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMike Derry 64%
Kyle Campbell 37%
John Roggeveen <1%
Kyle Joseph <1%
Mike Derry
64%
Kyle Campbell
37%
John Roggeveen
<1%
Kyle Joseph
<1%
Mike Derry 64%
Kyle Campbell 37%
John Roggeveen <1%
Kyle Joseph <1%
Mike Derry
64%
Kyle Campbell
37%
John Roggeveen
<1%
Kyle Joseph
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mike Derry leads trader consensus in the Calgary-Shaw by-election as the United Conservative Party nominee after defeating city councillor Dan McLean in the June 24 nomination vote. The riding, vacated by former UCP MLA Rebecca Schulz in May 2026, has historically favored the UCP with strong margins in recent provincial elections. Kyle Campbell, the NDP candidate nominated shortly afterward, trails in market pricing amid a contest focused on affordability, health care, and energy sector priorities. Premier Danielle Smith called the by-election for September 14, with nominations closing August 27 and advance voting set for early September. Other entrants, including Liberal leader John Roggeveen and Progressive Tory candidate Kyle Joseph, register minimal implied probabilities. Recent campaign activity, including endorsements and local issue emphasis, reinforces the two-candidate dynamic reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย