Susan Lahey, the Ontario Progressive Conservative candidate and East Gwillimbury councillor, holds a commanding lead in the York—Simcoe provincial by-election market due to the riding's established PC support base following Caroline Mulroney's resignation. Premier Doug Ford's mid-June appointment of Lahey as the party nominee leveraged local name recognition and organizational strength ahead of the September 3 vote. Opposition candidates from the Liberals, NDP, Greens, and smaller parties face compressed timelines to build visibility in a historically conservative-leaning district. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late campaign scandal, sharp provincial polling shift against the PCs, or unexpectedly strong coordinated turnout by multiple challengers could narrow the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSusan Lahey 95%
Naomi Davison 3.6%
Matt Pearce <1%
David Ghobrial <1%
Susan Lahey
95%
Naomi Davison
4%
Matt Pearce
1%
David Ghobrial
1%
Gerald Auger
1%
Bobby Nikmard
1%
Sean Conroy
1%
Susan Lahey 95%
Naomi Davison 3.6%
Matt Pearce <1%
David Ghobrial <1%
Susan Lahey
95%
Naomi Davison
4%
Matt Pearce
1%
David Ghobrial
1%
Gerald Auger
1%
Bobby Nikmard
1%
Sean Conroy
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 5:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Susan Lahey, the Ontario Progressive Conservative candidate and East Gwillimbury councillor, holds a commanding lead in the York—Simcoe provincial by-election market due to the riding's established PC support base following Caroline Mulroney's resignation. Premier Doug Ford's mid-June appointment of Lahey as the party nominee leveraged local name recognition and organizational strength ahead of the September 3 vote. Opposition candidates from the Liberals, NDP, Greens, and smaller parties face compressed timelines to build visibility in a historically conservative-leaning district. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late campaign scandal, sharp provincial polling shift against the PCs, or unexpectedly strong coordinated turnout by multiple challengers could narrow the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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