Trump’s continued active engagement in governance, including recent executive actions and public remarks through mid-August 2026, underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. As the sitting president serving a term ending in January 2029, Trump has shown no public signals of departure, consistent with his long record of resisting pressure to step aside. Republican congressional majorities and the absence of internal party defections or institutional challenges further reduce near-term exit risks. Partisan speculation, such as forecasts tied to 2026 midterm results or foreign policy strains, remains unsubstantiated by primary developments. Realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include sudden health developments, major legal reversals, or unexpectedly severe electoral losses prompting unprecedented pressure, though these lack supporting evidence at present.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
3% โอกาส
$527,781 ปริมาณ
$527,781 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
3% โอกาส
$527,781 ปริมาณ
$527,781 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s continued active engagement in governance, including recent executive actions and public remarks through mid-August 2026, underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. As the sitting president serving a term ending in January 2029, Trump has shown no public signals of departure, consistent with his long record of resisting pressure to step aside. Republican congressional majorities and the absence of internal party defections or institutional challenges further reduce near-term exit risks. Partisan speculation, such as forecasts tied to 2026 midterm results or foreign policy strains, remains unsubstantiated by primary developments. Realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include sudden health developments, major legal reversals, or unexpectedly severe electoral losses prompting unprecedented pressure, though these lack supporting evidence at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$527,781วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s continued active engagement in governance, including recent executive actions and public remarks through mid-August 2026, underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. As the sitting president serving a term ending in January 2029, Trump has shown no public signals of departure, consistent with his long record of resisting pressure to step aside. Republican congressional majorities and the absence of internal party defections or institutional challenges further reduce near-term exit risks. Partisan speculation, such as forecasts tied to 2026 midterm results or foreign policy strains, remains unsubstantiated by primary developments. Realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include sudden health developments, major legal reversals, or unexpectedly severe electoral losses prompting unprecedented pressure, though these lack supporting evidence at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$527,781วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trump’s continued active engagement in governance, including recent executive actions and public remarks through mid-August 2026, underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. As the sitting president serving a term ending in January 2029, Trump has shown no public signals of departure, consistent with his long record of resisting pressure to step aside. Republican congressional majorities and the absence of internal party defections or institutional challenges further reduce near-term exit risks. Partisan speculation, such as forecasts tied to 2026 midterm results or foreign policy strains, remains unsubstantiated by primary developments. Realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include sudden health developments, major legal reversals, or unexpectedly severe electoral losses prompting unprecedented pressure, though these lack supporting evidence at present.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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