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icon for 2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner
Halalan·Bolivia

2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner

icon for 2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner
Halalan·Bolivia

2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner

Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 100.0%

Popular Alliance (AP) <1%

Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) <1%

Christian Democratic Party (PDC) <1%

Polymarket

$2,063 Vol.

Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 100.0%

Popular Alliance (AP) <1%

Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) <1%

Christian Democratic Party (PDC) <1%

Polymarket

$2,063 Vol.

icon for Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)

Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)

$256 Vol.

Yes

icon for Popular Alliance (AP)

Popular Alliance (AP)

$444 Vol.

No

icon for Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)

Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)

$350 Vol.

No

icon for Christian Democratic Party (PDC)

Christian Democratic Party (PDC)

$320 Vol.

No

icon for Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)

Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)

$451 Vol.

No

icon for Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)

Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)

$242 Vol.

No

Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Bolivia’s departments include the following: La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order. This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).LIBRE – Liberty and Democracy holds commanding trader consensus at 100% implied probability for winning the most governorships in Bolivia's 2026 subnational elections, as official Tribunal Supremo Electoral results confirm its candidates secured the plurality across the nine departments following the March 22 first-round vote and April 19 runoffs. This dominance stems from opposition fragmentation after the MAS's 2025 national decline and President Rodrigo Paz's centrist victory, enabling LIBRE's conservative appeal in key races like Santa Cruz (Juan Pablo Velasco), Chuquisaca (Luis Ayllón), and Pando amid economic crisis and anti-incumbent sentiment. Paz allies claimed three governorships (La Paz, Tarija, Beni), MAS one (Cochabamba), and independents the rest. With certified outcomes, only rare legal challenges, recounts, or disqualifications could realistically alter resolution.

Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.

A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.

In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.

This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$2,063
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 22, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Bolivia’s departments include the following: La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order. This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Bolivia’s departments include the following: La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order. This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).LIBRE – Liberty and Democracy holds commanding trader consensus at 100% implied probability for winning the most governorships in Bolivia's 2026 subnational elections, as official Tribunal Supremo Electoral results confirm its candidates secured the plurality across the nine departments following the March 22 first-round vote and April 19 runoffs. This dominance stems from opposition fragmentation after the MAS's 2025 national decline and President Rodrigo Paz's centrist victory, enabling LIBRE's conservative appeal in key races like Santa Cruz (Juan Pablo Velasco), Chuquisaca (Luis Ayllón), and Pando amid economic crisis and anti-incumbent sentiment. Paz allies claimed three governorships (La Paz, Tarija, Beni), MAS one (Cochabamba), and independents the rest. With certified outcomes, only rare legal challenges, recounts, or disqualifications could realistically alter resolution.

Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.

A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.

In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.

This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$2,063
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 22, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Bolivia’s departments include the following: La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order. This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Popular Alliance (AP)" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jan 6, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner" ay "Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Popular Alliance (AP)" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.