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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Manny Rutinel 85%

Shannon Bird 12%

Dave Young 2.2%

Yadira Caraveo 1.1%

Polymarket

$14,376 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 85%

Shannon Bird 12%

Dave Young 2.2%

Yadira Caraveo 1.1%

Polymarket

$14,376 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$9,305 Vol.

85%

Shannon Bird

$1,542 Vol.

12%

Dave Young

$1,198 Vol.

2%

Yadira Caraveo

$641 Vol.

1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$930 Vol.

1%

John Szemler

$760 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel commands overwhelming trader consensus at 84.5% to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, reflecting his fundraising dominance and recent momentum in a battleground race to challenge Republican incumbent Gabe Evans. Rutinel's campaign launched a $50,000 digital ad buy on April 13 targeting rival Shannon Bird, the second-place contender at 11.5%, amid reports of strong fiscal positioning for both state House veterans. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo, who dropped her comeback bid in September 2025 after a narrow 2024 loss, trails at 1.1%, with Treasurer Dave Young and others seeing minimal support due to weaker organization. No recent polls are available, but traders weigh endorsements, cash on hand, and primary consolidation favoring Rutinel's path to nomination.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,376
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel commands overwhelming trader consensus at 84.5% to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, reflecting his fundraising dominance and recent momentum in a battleground race to challenge Republican incumbent Gabe Evans. Rutinel's campaign launched a $50,000 digital ad buy on April 13 targeting rival Shannon Bird, the second-place contender at 11.5%, amid reports of strong fiscal positioning for both state House veterans. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo, who dropped her comeback bid in September 2025 after a narrow 2024 loss, trails at 1.1%, with Treasurer Dave Young and others seeing minimal support due to weaker organization. No recent polls are available, but traders weigh endorsements, cash on hand, and primary consolidation favoring Rutinel's path to nomination.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,376
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Manny Rutinel" sa 85%, sinusundan ng "Shannon Bird" sa 12%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 85¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $14.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Manny Rutinel" sa 85%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Shannon Bird" sa 12%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.