Labour's Rowenna Davis leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, driven by a fragmented field in recent April 11 polling showing her at 25% first preferences ahead of incumbent Conservative Jason Perry (23%) and Green Peter Underwood (22%), with Reform UK's Ben Flook at 18%. Splintered opposition votes among Conservatives, Reform, Liberal Democrats, and independents position Davis to clinch victory under first-past-the-post rules despite tight margins, echoing bookmakers' favoritism. Underwood's strong second-place pricing at 17.3% reflects recent Green by-election gains, including a local win, while Perry trails at 16.5% amid borough financial scrutiny and council tax hikes. Postal voting begins soon, with turnout key in this no-overall-control council context.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCroydon Mayoral Election Winner
Croydon Mayoral Election Winner
Rowenna Davis 66%
Peter Underwood 17.6%
Jason Perry 17%
Jose Joseph <1%
$40,177 Vol.
$40,177 Vol.

Rowenna Davis
66%

Peter Underwood
18%

Jason Perry
17%

Jose Joseph
1%

Ben Flook
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%

Richard Howard
<1%
Rowenna Davis 66%
Peter Underwood 17.6%
Jason Perry 17%
Jose Joseph <1%
$40,177 Vol.
$40,177 Vol.

Rowenna Davis
66%

Peter Underwood
18%

Jason Perry
17%

Jose Joseph
1%

Ben Flook
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%

Richard Howard
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Rowenna Davis leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, driven by a fragmented field in recent April 11 polling showing her at 25% first preferences ahead of incumbent Conservative Jason Perry (23%) and Green Peter Underwood (22%), with Reform UK's Ben Flook at 18%. Splintered opposition votes among Conservatives, Reform, Liberal Democrats, and independents position Davis to clinch victory under first-past-the-post rules despite tight margins, echoing bookmakers' favoritism. Underwood's strong second-place pricing at 17.3% reflects recent Green by-election gains, including a local win, while Perry trails at 16.5% amid borough financial scrutiny and council tax hikes. Postal voting begins soon, with turnout key in this no-overall-control council context.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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