Recent U.S. GDP data show Q2 2026 growth slowing to a 1.5% annualized rate from 2.1% in Q1, with resilient consumer spending and AI-related business investment providing support while net trade and government spending exerted drags amid elevated energy prices and tariffs. Professional forecasts cluster between 1.5% and 2.2% for the full year, reflecting uncertainty over whether productivity gains from capital expenditure can offset labor-market softening, persistent inflation above target, and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions. Trader consensus on Polymarket remains tightly split between the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets because incoming indicators on final sales, import volumes, and Federal Reserve communications could readily shift implied probabilities in either direction before year-end resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateGDP growth in 2026
GDP growth in 2026
1.5–2.0% 33.3%
2.0–2.5% 32%
>2.5% 19%
1.0–1.5% 8.8%
$58,052 Vol.
$58,052 Vol.
Jan 29, 2027
<0.5%
8%
0.5–1.0%
2%
1.0–1.5%
9%
1.5–2.0%
33%
2.0–2.5%
32%
>2.5%
19%
1.5–2.0% 33.3%
2.0–2.5% 32%
>2.5% 19%
1.0–1.5% 8.8%
$58,052 Vol.
$58,052 Vol.
Jan 29, 2027
<0.5%
$7,439 Vol.
8%
0.5–1.0%
$17,161 Vol.
2%
1.0–1.5%
$3,814 Vol.
9%
1.5–2.0%
$6,622 Vol.
33%
2.0–2.5%
$7,085 Vol.
32%
>2.5%
$15,931 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. GDP data show Q2 2026 growth slowing to a 1.5% annualized rate from 2.1% in Q1, with resilient consumer spending and AI-related business investment providing support while net trade and government spending exerted drags amid elevated energy prices and tariffs. Professional forecasts cluster between 1.5% and 2.2% for the full year, reflecting uncertainty over whether productivity gains from capital expenditure can offset labor-market softening, persistent inflation above target, and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions. Trader consensus on Polymarket remains tightly split between the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets because incoming indicators on final sales, import volumes, and Federal Reserve communications could readily shift implied probabilities in either direction before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$58,052Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 29, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. GDP data show Q2 2026 growth slowing to a 1.5% annualized rate from 2.1% in Q1, with resilient consumer spending and AI-related business investment providing support while net trade and government spending exerted drags amid elevated energy prices and tariffs. Professional forecasts cluster between 1.5% and 2.2% for the full year, reflecting uncertainty over whether productivity gains from capital expenditure can offset labor-market softening, persistent inflation above target, and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions. Trader consensus on Polymarket remains tightly split between the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets because incoming indicators on final sales, import volumes, and Federal Reserve communications could readily shift implied probabilities in either direction before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,052Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 29, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent U.S. GDP data show Q2 2026 growth slowing to a 1.5% annualized rate from 2.1% in Q1, with resilient consumer spending and AI-related business investment providing support while net trade and government spending exerted drags amid elevated energy prices and tariffs. Professional forecasts cluster between 1.5% and 2.2% for the full year, reflecting uncertainty over whether productivity gains from capital expenditure can offset labor-market softening, persistent inflation above target, and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions. Trader consensus on Polymarket remains tightly split between the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets because incoming indicators on final sales, import volumes, and Federal Reserve communications could readily shift implied probabilities in either direction before year-end resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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