Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Austin on August 5 point to a high near 99–100°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat across Central Texas, driven by high pressure and typical seasonal insolation, supports this range, though slight model variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the official reading into the 96–97°F bin (30%). Recent triple-digit streaks have normalized trader expectations, yet the narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations. Final NWS observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on August 5?
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 25%
102-103°F 3%
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
2%
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 25%
102-103°F 3%
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Austin on August 5 point to a high near 99–100°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat across Central Texas, driven by high pressure and typical seasonal insolation, supports this range, though slight model variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the official reading into the 96–97°F bin (30%). Recent triple-digit streaks have normalized trader expectations, yet the narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations. Final NWS observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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