Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show moderate uncertainty for Beijing's peak temperature on August 31, with trader consensus clustering around 30–31°C amid variable late-summer circulation patterns. Primary drivers include ensemble spreads in global models such as ECMWF and GFS regarding the position of a subtropical high and associated southerly flow, which could either sustain or suppress afternoon highs by 1–2°C. Local factors like urban heat retention, boundary-layer moisture, and potential for scattered convection add further variability, while climatological baselines for late August place typical maxima near 29–30°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
30°C 32%
31°C 23%
29°C 21%
28°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
12%
29°C
21%
30°C
32%
31°C
23%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 23%
29°C 21%
28°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$14 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C
$16 Vol.
12%
29°C
$79 Vol.
21%
30°C
$68 Vol.
32%
31°C
$4 Vol.
23%
32°C
$47 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show moderate uncertainty for Beijing's peak temperature on August 31, with trader consensus clustering around 30–31°C amid variable late-summer circulation patterns. Primary drivers include ensemble spreads in global models such as ECMWF and GFS regarding the position of a subtropical high and associated southerly flow, which could either sustain or suppress afternoon highs by 1–2°C. Local factors like urban heat retention, boundary-layer moisture, and potential for scattered convection add further variability, while climatological baselines for late August place typical maxima near 29–30°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$229Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show moderate uncertainty for Beijing's peak temperature on August 31, with trader consensus clustering around 30–31°C amid variable late-summer circulation patterns. Primary drivers include ensemble spreads in global models such as ECMWF and GFS regarding the position of a subtropical high and associated southerly flow, which could either sustain or suppress afternoon highs by 1–2°C. Local factors like urban heat retention, boundary-layer moisture, and potential for scattered convection add further variability, while climatological baselines for late August place typical maxima near 29–30°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$229Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show moderate uncertainty for Beijing's peak temperature on August 31, with trader consensus clustering around 30–31°C amid variable late-summer circulation patterns. Primary drivers include ensemble spreads in global models such as ECMWF and GFS regarding the position of a subtropical high and associated southerly flow, which could either sustain or suppress afternoon highs by 1–2°C. Local factors like urban heat retention, boundary-layer moisture, and potential for scattered convection add further variability, while climatological baselines for late August place typical maxima near 29–30°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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