**Persistent thundershowers and heavy rain expected on August 31 are the main factor capping Shenzhen's daily maximum near 30–32 °C.** Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple models indicate overcast skies with scattered to locally torrential thundershowers, which increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and limit solar heating during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with the subtropical monsoon pattern typical of late August, where climatological highs average ~32 °C but drop several degrees under widespread precipitation. Short-term model spreads on rain timing and intensity create the tight market clustering around 30–32 °C, as lighter or delayed showers could allow brief clearing and a 32 °C peak, while earlier or heavier rain favors the 30 °C outcome. Updated model runs and local radar trends over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
31°C 27%
30°C 22%
32°C 20%
29°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
12%
30°C
22%
31°C
27%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 27%
30°C 22%
32°C 20%
29°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
12%
30°C
22%
31°C
27%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent thundershowers and heavy rain expected on August 31 are the main factor capping Shenzhen's daily maximum near 30–32 °C.** Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple models indicate overcast skies with scattered to locally torrential thundershowers, which increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and limit solar heating during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with the subtropical monsoon pattern typical of late August, where climatological highs average ~32 °C but drop several degrees under widespread precipitation. Short-term model spreads on rain timing and intensity create the tight market clustering around 30–32 °C, as lighter or delayed showers could allow brief clearing and a 32 °C peak, while earlier or heavier rain favors the 30 °C outcome. Updated model runs and local radar trends over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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