Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a peak of 37°C for Milan on August 6, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient daytime heating across the Po Valley. Persistent anticyclonic conditions have sustained above-average temperatures through early August, with recent model runs showing minimal cooling overnight and limited cloud cover or precipitation to moderate maxima. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 36–37°C (combined 92%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS that favors this narrow range over outliers, while noting typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects that could shift the final official reading by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on August 6?
37°C 56%
36°C 37%
38°C 6%
35°C 5%
$11,123 Vol.
$11,123 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
37%
37°C
56%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 56%
36°C 37%
38°C 6%
35°C 5%
$11,123 Vol.
$11,123 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
37%
37°C
56%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a peak of 37°C for Milan on August 6, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient daytime heating across the Po Valley. Persistent anticyclonic conditions have sustained above-average temperatures through early August, with recent model runs showing minimal cooling overnight and limited cloud cover or precipitation to moderate maxima. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 36–37°C (combined 92%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS that favors this narrow range over outliers, while noting typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects that could shift the final official reading by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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