Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak temperature of 30–31°C in Milan on September 2 under persistent high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and negligible precipitation. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating in the Po Valley during early September, when climatological highs average near 26–28°C but current warmth has elevated baselines. Hourly guidance shows afternoon maxima clustering around 30–31°C, with limited model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C (50.5% implied probability) over adjacent bins. Minor forecast revisions could shift outcomes if boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud develops overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on September 2?
30°C 51%
29°C 22%
31°C 19%
32°C or higher 2%
$11,518 Vol.
$11,518 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
22%
30°C
51%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 51%
29°C 22%
31°C 19%
32°C or higher 2%
$11,518 Vol.
$11,518 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
22%
30°C
51%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak temperature of 30–31°C in Milan on September 2 under persistent high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and negligible precipitation. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating in the Po Valley during early September, when climatological highs average near 26–28°C but current warmth has elevated baselines. Hourly guidance shows afternoon maxima clustering around 30–31°C, with limited model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C (50.5% implied probability) over adjacent bins. Minor forecast revisions could shift outcomes if boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud develops overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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