Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cool, rainy pattern for New York City on September 26, driven by persistent northerly winds and a passing frontal system that limits daytime heating. Cloud cover and widespread showers, with probabilities exceeding 60 percent in many runs, reduce incoming solar radiation and cap highs primarily in the low-to-mid 60s°F. This setup favors the market's leading bins around 64–67°F, as stronger winds enhance mixing of cooler air while precipitation further suppresses the daily maximum. Historical September averages near 73°F highlight the anomaly, with traders weighting ensemble consensus on exact peak timing and intensity. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the date remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on September 26?
66-67°F 30%
64-65°F 24%
62-63°F 21%
60-61°F 20%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
5%
76°F or higher
4%
66-67°F 30%
64-65°F 24%
62-63°F 21%
60-61°F 20%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
5%
76°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 24, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cool, rainy pattern for New York City on September 26, driven by persistent northerly winds and a passing frontal system that limits daytime heating. Cloud cover and widespread showers, with probabilities exceeding 60 percent in many runs, reduce incoming solar radiation and cap highs primarily in the low-to-mid 60s°F. This setup favors the market's leading bins around 64–67°F, as stronger winds enhance mixing of cooler air while precipitation further suppresses the daily maximum. Historical September averages near 73°F highlight the anomaly, with traders weighting ensemble consensus on exact peak timing and intensity. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the date remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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