Current forecasts for San Francisco on August 17 center on a persistent deep marine layer exceeding 2,000–4,000 feet, which limits daytime heating through enhanced onshore flow and coastal stratus, keeping highs most likely in the 68–71°F range. National Weather Service model consensus and recent soundings show this pattern producing below-normal temperatures amid variable fog and possible drizzle, with only modest warming expected if the layer thins briefly. Trader probabilities reflect this narrow band of uncertainty between adjacent bins, as small shifts in wind strength or inversion height could tip the daily maximum across the 70°F threshold while historical August averages near 67–70°F provide context for the tight distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 17?
70-71°F 34%
68-69°F 32%
72-73°F 14%
66-67°F 11%
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 34%
68-69°F 32%
72-73°F 14%
66-67°F 11%
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for San Francisco on August 17 center on a persistent deep marine layer exceeding 2,000–4,000 feet, which limits daytime heating through enhanced onshore flow and coastal stratus, keeping highs most likely in the 68–71°F range. National Weather Service model consensus and recent soundings show this pattern producing below-normal temperatures amid variable fog and possible drizzle, with only modest warming expected if the layer thins briefly. Trader probabilities reflect this narrow band of uncertainty between adjacent bins, as small shifts in wind strength or inversion height could tip the daily maximum across the 70°F threshold while historical August averages near 67–70°F provide context for the tight distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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