Charles Booker's commanding 82% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary reflects his sustained polling lead and grassroots momentum ahead of the May 19 contest to challenge the Republican nominee replacing retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. A March 29-31 Emerson College/FOX56 poll of likely Democratic voters showed Booker at 36%, Amy McGrath at 18%, with 38% undecided, marking an 18-point edge that has widened from prior surveys like Emerson's earlier +11 and PPP's close +3; RealClearPolling averages Booker +10.5 over McGrath. Booker's recent labor union endorsements and active campaigning on working-class issues have consolidated progressive and base support, while McGrath trails despite 2020 name recognition from her McConnell challenge. Recent candidate forums, including April 8, underscore Booker's frontrunner status amid fragmented fields.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Charles Booker 81%
Amy McGrath 13%
Joel Willett <1%
Pamela Stevenson <1%
$23,443 Vol.
$23,443 Vol.
Charles Booker
81%
Amy McGrath
13%
Joel Willett
1%
Pamela Stevenson
1%
Jared Randall
<1%
Dale Romans
<1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
Charles Booker 81%
Amy McGrath 13%
Joel Willett <1%
Pamela Stevenson <1%
$23,443 Vol.
$23,443 Vol.
Charles Booker
81%
Amy McGrath
13%
Joel Willett
1%
Pamela Stevenson
1%
Jared Randall
<1%
Dale Romans
<1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Charles Booker's commanding 82% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary reflects his sustained polling lead and grassroots momentum ahead of the May 19 contest to challenge the Republican nominee replacing retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. A March 29-31 Emerson College/FOX56 poll of likely Democratic voters showed Booker at 36%, Amy McGrath at 18%, with 38% undecided, marking an 18-point edge that has widened from prior surveys like Emerson's earlier +11 and PPP's close +3; RealClearPolling averages Booker +10.5 over McGrath. Booker's recent labor union endorsements and active campaigning on working-class issues have consolidated progressive and base support, while McGrath trails despite 2020 name recognition from her McConnell challenge. Recent candidate forums, including April 8, underscore Booker's frontrunner status amid fragmented fields.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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