**Clear skies, dry air, and a strong high-pressure system have promoted efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over Ankara, driving overnight temperatures sharply lower on September 10.** Recent observations show a clear cooling trend, with minimums of 11.3°C on the 8th and 11.9°C on the 9th, consistent with seasonal progression into mid-September when average lows fall toward 12–14°C. Numerical weather models and official monitoring confirm minimal cloud cover and light winds, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently under these stable conditions. The overwhelming market-implied probability (99.5%) for 10°C or below reflects this consensus from real-time observational data and short-range forecasts. A realistic challenge would require unexpected mid-level moisture or warmer southerly flow arriving earlier than modeled, which could limit cooling and push the minimum above 10°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
10°C or below 99.5%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$2,584 Vol.
$2,584 Vol.
10°C or below
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 99.5%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$2,584 Vol.
$2,584 Vol.
10°C or below
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, dry air, and a strong high-pressure system have promoted efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over Ankara, driving overnight temperatures sharply lower on September 10.** Recent observations show a clear cooling trend, with minimums of 11.3°C on the 8th and 11.9°C on the 9th, consistent with seasonal progression into mid-September when average lows fall toward 12–14°C. Numerical weather models and official monitoring confirm minimal cloud cover and light winds, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently under these stable conditions. The overwhelming market-implied probability (99.5%) for 10°C or below reflects this consensus from real-time observational data and short-range forecasts. A realistic challenge would require unexpected mid-level moisture or warmer southerly flow arriving earlier than modeled, which could limit cooling and push the minimum above 10°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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