Recent forecasts from multiple models point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern typical of early September. Minimum temperatures are expected near 15–17°C, close to seasonal norms but above long-term averages for the date, with trader consensus centered on 15–16°C outcomes at 50% implied probability. Small spreads among 12–17°C bins reflect minor model variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and exact dew-point forecasts, while lower-probability extremes (below 12°C or above 18°C) remain discounted absent changes in cloud cover or advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will likely refine these narrow ranges before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
12°C 96%
13°C 96%
14°C 96%
17°C 85%
11°C or below
69%
12°C
96%
13°C
96%
14°C
96%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
85%
18°C
10%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C or higher
59%
12°C 96%
13°C 96%
14°C 96%
17°C 85%
11°C or below
69%
12°C
96%
13°C
96%
14°C
96%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
85%
18°C
10%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern typical of early September. Minimum temperatures are expected near 15–17°C, close to seasonal norms but above long-term averages for the date, with trader consensus centered on 15–16°C outcomes at 50% implied probability. Small spreads among 12–17°C bins reflect minor model variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and exact dew-point forecasts, while lower-probability extremes (below 12°C or above 18°C) remain discounted absent changes in cloud cover or advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will likely refine these narrow ranges before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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