The closely matched market odds for Manila's September 6 overnight low reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in the southwest monsoon regime, where trader consensus clusters around 21–26°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall from the Habagat winds typically suppress radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24–26°C baseline, while clearer intervals could allow drops toward 21°C or below. Model consensus from agencies like PAGASA and ECMWF shows sensitivity to exact timing of convective activity and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with limited historical analogs for rapid shifts this early in the season. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Manila on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 6?
21°C or below 67%
28°C 50%
27°C 49%
26°C 32%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
67%
22°C
20%
23°C
27%
24°C
31%
25°C
32%
26°C
32%
27°C
49%
28°C
50%
29°C
19%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
31%
21°C or below 67%
28°C 50%
27°C 49%
26°C 32%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
67%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
31%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
50%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds for Manila's September 6 overnight low reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in the southwest monsoon regime, where trader consensus clusters around 21–26°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall from the Habagat winds typically suppress radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24–26°C baseline, while clearer intervals could allow drops toward 21°C or below. Model consensus from agencies like PAGASA and ECMWF shows sensitivity to exact timing of convective activity and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with limited historical analogs for rapid shifts this early in the season. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds for Manila's September 6 overnight low reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in the southwest monsoon regime, where trader consensus clusters around 21–26°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall from the Habagat winds typically suppress radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24–26°C baseline, while clearer intervals could allow drops toward 21°C or below. Model consensus from agencies like PAGASA and ECMWF shows sensitivity to exact timing of convective activity and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with limited historical analogs for rapid shifts this early in the season. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds for Manila's September 6 overnight low reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in the southwest monsoon regime, where trader consensus clusters around 21–26°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall from the Habagat winds typically suppress radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24–26°C baseline, while clearer intervals could allow drops toward 21°C or below. Model consensus from agencies like PAGASA and ECMWF shows sensitivity to exact timing of convective activity and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with limited historical analogs for rapid shifts this early in the season. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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