**Persistent warm, humid conditions with elevated dew points near 78–80°F are anchoring overnight lows in Miami around 80–82°F on September 10, 2026, driving the market’s tight clustering on the 80–83°F bins (combined ~75% implied probability).** National Weather Service forecasts show minimal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, easterly flow, and scattered thunderstorm activity that maintains high moisture and prevents temperatures from dropping to the historical average low of ~77°F. Model consensus and recent observations align on this range, with only modest uncertainty from exact cloud timing or localized rain-cooled pockets that could nudge readings into the upper 70s. Traders are weighting the skin-in-the-game consensus on these near-term atmospheric conditions ahead of final official verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Miami on September 10?
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 38%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 10.4%
$4,616 Vol.
$4,616 Vol.
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 38%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 10.4%
$4,616 Vol.
$4,616 Vol.
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions with elevated dew points near 78–80°F are anchoring overnight lows in Miami around 80–82°F on September 10, 2026, driving the market’s tight clustering on the 80–83°F bins (combined ~75% implied probability).** National Weather Service forecasts show minimal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, easterly flow, and scattered thunderstorm activity that maintains high moisture and prevents temperatures from dropping to the historical average low of ~77°F. Model consensus and recent observations align on this range, with only modest uncertainty from exact cloud timing or localized rain-cooled pockets that could nudge readings into the upper 70s. Traders are weighting the skin-in-the-game consensus on these near-term atmospheric conditions ahead of final official verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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