Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's September 3 minimum temperature will likely fall in the 13–15°C range under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and scattered showers, consistent with seasonal norms near 10–19°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between an 8°C-or-below outcome and 18°C-or-higher because ensemble guidance diverges on the strength of an approaching frontal system and the degree of overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Persistent southerly flow earlier in the week has delayed seasonal cooling, while any increase in wind or precipitation could limit temperature drops; conversely, clearer breaks would allow greater nocturnal cooling toward single digits. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve this narrow uncertainty band.