**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service models points to an overnight minimum near 74°F in Central Park, reflecting persistent warmth from a humid airmass with limited radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds.** Recent observations show daytime highs reaching the mid-80s on September 9 with minima in the mid-60s, setting up elevated baseline temperatures that suppress typical September cooling. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing overnight, which could allow brief dips into the low 70s or hold readings in the mid-70s. This uncertainty explains the tight market split between 74-75°F and 72-73°F outcomes, both well above the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 63.5°F for the date. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on September 10?
74-75°F 35%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 14%
70-71°F 10%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 35%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 14%
70-71°F 10%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service models points to an overnight minimum near 74°F in Central Park, reflecting persistent warmth from a humid airmass with limited radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds.** Recent observations show daytime highs reaching the mid-80s on September 9 with minima in the mid-60s, setting up elevated baseline temperatures that suppress typical September cooling. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing overnight, which could allow brief dips into the low 70s or hold readings in the mid-70s. This uncertainty explains the tight market split between 74-75°F and 72-73°F outcomes, both well above the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 63.5°F for the date. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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