Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 15–16°C in Paris on September 13 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly to mostly clear skies that favor radiational cooling. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet current conditions support milder readings with minimal cloud cover limiting further temperature drops. Minor differences in forecast cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread among 13–15°C outcomes that traders have priced, with new model runs and observations expected to refine the exact minimum before midnight resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
14°C 38%
15°C 29%
13°C 19%
17°C 13%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
19%
14°C
38%
15°C
29%
16°C
10%
17°C
13%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
14°C 38%
15°C 29%
13°C 19%
17°C 13%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
19%
14°C
38%
15°C
29%
16°C
10%
17°C
13%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 15–16°C in Paris on September 13 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly to mostly clear skies that favor radiational cooling. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet current conditions support milder readings with minimal cloud cover limiting further temperature drops. Minor differences in forecast cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread among 13–15°C outcomes that traders have priced, with new model runs and observations expected to refine the exact minimum before midnight resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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