Current forecast models from regional meteorological services project a minimum near 20–21°C in Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies and light northerly winds that support overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment, however, assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 14°C or below, reflecting expectations of stronger nocturnal cooling from enhanced wind flow or subtle model adjustments not yet dominant in public guidance. Stable high-pressure patterns and typical early-September baselines of 19–21°C lows provide the backdrop, yet inherent uncertainty in precise minimum readings—driven by local topography and short-term wind variability—keeps probabilities elevated on cooler outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
14°C or below 90%
21°C 50%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
14°C or below
90%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
2%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C or higher
47%
14°C or below 90%
21°C 50%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
14°C or below
90%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
2%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological services project a minimum near 20–21°C in Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies and light northerly winds that support overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment, however, assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 14°C or below, reflecting expectations of stronger nocturnal cooling from enhanced wind flow or subtle model adjustments not yet dominant in public guidance. Stable high-pressure patterns and typical early-September baselines of 19–21°C lows provide the backdrop, yet inherent uncertainty in precise minimum readings—driven by local topography and short-term wind variability—keeps probabilities elevated on cooler outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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